Forecasting the Nobel Prizes 1990


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    • Author:  by Harold E. Varmus  

    • Abstract:  Speculations on who will win the Nobel Prize have appeared in the popular press. 7he Scierrrist~?s success in forecasting the 1989 prize in physiology or medicine is discussed, as is the correlation between citations, receipt of Nobel Prizes and other prestigious awards, and subjective expert judgment.

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